Purpose
Methodology keeps the project from selecting only evidence that looks dramatic or convenient. The rules should constrain conclusions before conclusions constrain the rules.
Approach
Each claim is atomized, classified, cited, dated, and linked to counterarguments. Chronology, mechanism, magnitude, and independence are evaluated separately.
Classification system: Established Evidence · Mainstream Interpretation · Alternative Hypothesis · Ancient or Religious Tradition · Author’s Analysis · Speculation · Unresolved Question.
Standards
- Prefer primary sources and stable archives.
- Record uncertainty and competing age models.
- Distinguish correlation from causation.
- Predefine event-inclusion criteria.
- Track corrections and version history.
- State what could falsify a claim.
Limits and open work
Classification involves judgment. Borderline cases should explain why a label was chosen and invite review.
[METHODOLOGY REFERENCES REQUIRED] Add standards for systematic review, paleoclimate chronology, statistical periodicity, and historical-source criticism.
Critical review
What could change this page?
Methodological criticism can require reclassification or removal even if a claim remains narratively compelling.
Next steps
Publish a machine-readable claim ledger and timeline dataset with source and confidence fields.